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COVID-19 Outbreak , Not As Bad As Some Have Reported, But The Worst Is Ahead Of Us

COVID-19 Outbreak , Not As Bad As Some Have Reported, But The Worst Is Ahead Of Us

by Rich | Mar 18, 2020 | Fundamentals, Uncategorized

The New York Times reported Friday on Centers for Disease Control (CDC) worst case studies of COVID-19 in the United States.  Between 160 million and 214 million could be infected and 200,000 to 1.7 million could die.  In the same article, an infectious diseases...
The Current Level of Market Prices

The Current Level of Market Prices

by Rich | Jan 30, 2020 | 2020 Presidential Election, Fundamentals, Uncategorized

When I retired a few years ago, I decided to delve into whether or not the stock market was overvalued.  Conventional wisdom at the time suggested that the stock market had been on the rise since 2009, and maybe it was overvalued.  It has continued rising since then,...
Answers to Two Questions Predict the Electoral College Vote Outcome

Answers to Two Questions Predict the Electoral College Vote Outcome

by Rich | Oct 3, 2019 | 2020 Presidential Election, Fundamentals

There have been twenty-two elections since 1932, and answering two questions goes a long way towards predicting the Electoral Vote outcome.

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  • History Says Biden Should Win
  • Trump Has A Much Harder Hill To Climb This Time
  • Trump And Republicans Are Now Poised To Lose The 2020 Presidential Election
  • History Suggests The Current S&P 500 Price Is Too High
  • It Is Unlikely That The Number Of Covid-19 Deaths Peaked Yesterday

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