by Rich | Apr 3, 2020 | Status Monitors
In my posts on COVID-19, I have highlighted the importance of a declining day/day case growth rate. A declining rate will bring the outbreak under control. Four days ago (here) it looked like the daily rate was declining and the isolation orders issued by most...
by Rich | Mar 30, 2020 | Status Monitors
My last post (here) on March 25th highlighted the importance of reducing the day-over-day growth rate in COVID-19 cases, and I lamented how the rate was remaining stubbornly high. Fortunately, it now looks like the isolation actions taken by states and major...
by Rich | Mar 25, 2020 | Status Monitors
In the March 18th post you can find here, I projected the number of COVID-19 cases in the USA at the end of April under four scenarios: “Like South Korea”, “Like China”, “Like Italy” and “USA “Business as...
by Rich | Mar 18, 2020 | Fundamentals, Uncategorized
The New York Times reported Friday on Centers for Disease Control (CDC) worst case studies of COVID-19 in the United States. Between 160 million and 214 million could be infected and 200,000 to 1.7 million could die. In the same article, an infectious diseases...
by Rich | Feb 2, 2020 | Status Monitors, Uncategorized
The United States Senate has two senators representing each of the 50 states. This structure was created almost 250 years ago after a compromise between large-state and small-state interests1. At the time, the ratio of the number of people in the most and least...
by Rich | Jan 30, 2020 | 2020 Presidential Election, Fundamentals, Uncategorized
When I retired a few years ago, I decided to delve into whether or not the stock market was overvalued. Conventional wisdom at the time suggested that the stock market had been on the rise since 2009, and maybe it was overvalued. It has continued rising since then,...